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2024-12-14 08:05:04

Dennis Shen, an economist at Scope Ratings: The reasons for the Fed to cut interest rates further after December are obviously reduced. Inflation is still sticky, the economic and financial markets are overheated, and the slight increase in unemployment rate earlier this year has been reversed. The Trump administration may bring more inflation risks in the short term.Economists predict that the Fed will only cut interest rates three times next year. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect that the Fed will cut interest rates for the third time in a row this month, and lower the expected number of interest rate cuts next year. The market expects Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and his colleagues to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. If the expectation is true, it means that interest rates have been lowered by 1 percentage point since September. Next year's interest rate cut will slow down faster than officials expected three months ago. Most economists predict that interest rates will be cut only three times in 2025 because of the small progress in fighting inflation.How to do economic work next year? Understand the ten important formulations of the Central Economic Work Conference, which was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting analyzed the current economic situation and deployed economic work in 2025. Formulation 1: "Continuously deepen the understanding of the regularity of economic work". Formulation 2: "Maintain steady economic growth". Formulation 3: "More active fiscal policy". Formulation 4: "Moderately loose monetary policy". Formulation 5: "Expand domestic demand in all directions". Formulation 6: "Comprehensively rectify the' involution' competition". Formulation 7: "Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market". Formulation 8: "Continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". Formulation 9: "Coordinated promotion of policy implementation and expected guidance". Formulation 10: "Stimulate the endogenous motivation of the entrepreneurs". (Xinhua News Agency)


The pharmacy chain WBA rose to 4%. It is reported that Sycamore Partners LP is arranging a debt financing plan for the acquisition of WBA. Sycamore has contacted lenders such as Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase.Russia is negotiating with the new Syrian authorities to maintain its two military bases in Syria.Polish central bank governor: I think there is no reason to change interest rates.


Iraqi Prime Minister: No party is allowed to invade Syrian territory. When meeting with visiting US Secretary of State Blinken in Baghdad on the 13th, Iraqi Prime Minister Al-Sudani said that no party is allowed to invade Syrian territory.Funds continue to enter the market through the channel. The net subscription of stock ETFs exceeded 36.5 billion in the month. Since December, funds have continued to enter the market through stock ETFs (transactional open index funds). The data shows that as of December 13, the net subscription share of stock ETFs in the month reached 36.543 billion. From the perspective of specific capital flow, broad-based ETFs attract gold strongly, and many CSI A 500 ETFs and CSI 300ETF are actively subscribed by investors. In addition, dividend ETFs are also net subscribed by investors. (Securities Daily)Polish Central Bank Governor Glapinski: There is no basis for adjusting interest rates.

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